Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 3.673487 3.938685 4.221111 4.545541 4.909521 5.307136 5.776895
2025-04-20 3.201364 3.568621 3.984241 4.494546 5.111463 5.842860 6.790718
2025-04-27 2.981227 3.415820 3.929640 4.592755 5.442588 6.520052 8.033173
2025-05-04 2.820386 3.301180 3.889545 4.680189 5.744329 7.174958 9.337844
2025-05-11 2.652288 3.155278 3.787364 4.664298 5.892443 7.626866 10.424466
2025-05-18 2.501064 3.014979 3.675031 4.615550 5.978380 7.988398 11.428990
2025-05-25 2.345601 2.856380 3.523543 4.494321 5.939821 8.148962 12.125856
2025-06-01 2.223849 2.733492 3.409632 4.412999 5.946329 8.372369 12.966903
2025-06-08 2.146233 2.664225 3.362933 4.421985 6.087133 8.826156 14.327766
2025-06-15 2.093387 2.624761 3.353768 4.483259 6.313281 9.452729 16.189863
2025-06-22 1.983569 2.500382 3.215883 4.337711 6.185574 9.431276 16.668649
2025-06-29 1.892292 2.397771 3.103830 4.223911 6.099476 9.473277 17.300843
2025-07-06 1.811659 2.309592 3.012394 4.142864 6.073372 9.647935 18.362402
2025-07-13 1.747151 2.242096 2.948663 4.102648 6.116927 9.971175 19.930107
2025-07-20 1.720596 2.227662 2.962717 4.188480 6.394015 10.815956 23.272925
2025-07-27 1.693374 2.210530 2.971030 4.264462 6.660887 11.693228 27.212129
2025-08-03 1.646840 2.162512 2.928706 4.250673 6.753619 12.197577 30.242313
2025-08-10 1.597043 2.107458 2.872420 4.208337 6.784906 12.563038 33.012933
2025-08-17 1.536450 2.033876 2.783508 4.102911 6.678437 12.572131 34.386911
2025-08-24 1.486997 1.975492 2.716347 4.032079 6.636572 12.739958 36.592725
2025-08-31 1.457158 1.945888 2.693924 4.039910 6.759606 13.363957 41.462703
2025-09-07 1.438304 1.932328 2.696621 4.093282 6.985672 14.322871 49.190884
2025-09-14 1.384559 1.862937 2.605024 3.966420 6.803549 14.082626 49.727706